YPF Sociedad Anónima (YPF) Stock Analysis
Latest ClaritX AI analysis ·
YPF Sociedad Anónima stands as an Argentine energy corporation, actively involved in both the upstream and downstream segments of the oil and gas industry within the country. The company's upstream division is dedicated to the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). Its downstream operations encompass the refining, marketing, transportation, and distribution of a wide array of products, including crude oil, petroleum products, petroleum derivatives, petrochemicals, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and biofuels. Additionally, this segment manages gas separation, natural gas distribution networks, and participates in power generation ac
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $52.10 |
| Market cap | $20.4B |
| Sector | Energy |
| Industry | Oil & Gas Integrated |
| ClaritX AI score | 88/100 |
| Price/Book | 1.77 |
| Beta | -0.07 |
AI verdict
YPF Sociedad Anónima remains a vastly mispriced, idiosyncratic energy titan offering an elite, asymmetric risk-reward profile fueled by unprecedented fundamental execution. The stock is currently trading at $52.10, placing it exactly 9.97% below its towering 52-week high of $57.87. A fundamentally flawless stock operating nearly 10% off its cycle peaks, combined with a perfectly neutralized RSI of 53.29, creates a highly constructive accumulation environment. This is a far safer risk proposition than chasing euphoric, overbought momentum extensions at the absolute top. Furthermore, the asset's exceptionally rare negative beta of -0.073 entirely uncouples its underlying price discovery from standard global systemic volatility and broad index liquidations, granting it an elite status as an absolute-return defensive diversifier. The overarching foundational bull thesis has only strengthened over the past ten days. Operational de-risking continues aggressively, highlighted by the company taking 100% control of its YPF Luz power unit and securing massive multi-year drilling rig contracts for the Vaca Muerta shale basin. Unprecedented executive conviction is mathematically proven by an accelerating Q4 insider accumulation of over 1.28 million shares with zero dispositions. Supported by premier institutional backing, the recently secured $6 billion U.S. LNG financing, and massive operating cash flow velocity, YPF thoroughly justifies a premium structural re-rating. Rating 88/100
What this score has been worth
ClaritX scores YPF 88 out of 100, ranking it #26 among stock in the live ClaritX ranking (snapshot 2026-10-21).
Every ClaritX analysis is scored first and judged only on what the stock did afterwards. Across the 202 analyses that scored in the 85-89 band, the average forward return was +2.6% with a 60% win rate, -2.5pp against the S&P 500. That is a measured tendency across many names, not a forecast for YPF — roughly 40% of stocks in this band still lost money.
The full band-by-band table, including the bands that lost, is on the AI Rank Report; the live strategy arms behind it are on the AI Track Record, losses published.