Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Analysis
Latest ClaritX AI analysis ·
Walmart Inc., established in 1945 and based in Bentonville, Arkansas, operates as a global retail powerhouse, having officially adopted its current name in February 2018, formerly Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. The company's diverse operations, encompassing retail, wholesale, and e-commerce, are managed across three primary divisions: Walmart U.S., Walmart International, and Sam's Club. Its extensive physical presence includes a variety of store formats such as supercenters, supermarkets, hypermarkets, membership-only warehouse clubs (like Sam's Club), cash-and-carry outlets, and discount stores, primarily operating under the Walmart and Walmart Neighborhood Market banners. Digitally, the company eng
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $111.35 |
| Market cap | $886.1B |
| Sector | Consumer Defensive |
| Industry | Discount Stores |
| ClaritX AI score | 35/100 |
| Price/Book | 9.02 |
| Dividend yield | 0.88% |
| Beta | 0.58 |
AI verdict
Walmart Inc. (WMT) remains an operationally elite global retail behemoth that is currently suffocated by an unjustifiable equity valuation, rendering it an exceptionally high-risk proposition for new capital allocation. Currently trading at $111.35, the stock rests 17.6% below its 52-week euphoric high of $135.16, remaining trapped beneath its 200-day moving average ($118.17). For an asset possessing a historically defensive ultra-low beta of 0.578, a drawdown of this magnitude entirely violates its foundational mandate as a capital preservation anchor during market turbulence. A low-beta stock trading near its 52-week high on euphoric momentum is a vastly different risk proposition than a fallen angel struggling to clear macro resistance; Walmart is definitively the latter. Despite a pristine balance sheet and an exceptional 22.74% ROE, these operational strengths cannot logically justify a 40.20x trailing earnings multiple or a 9.72x PEG ratio for a business generating a microscopic 3.00% net margin. This severe overvaluation is compounded by highly expensive, highly publicized logistical bottlenecks in its multibillion-dollar warehouse automation initiative. Furthermore, a massive, unmitigated insider liquidation wave—with roughly 28 million shares dumped earlier this year and continued selling with virtually zero open-market purchases—proves the executive suite is actively rejecting the current valuation. The microscopic 0.88% dividend yield offers absolutely no downside
What this score has been worth
ClaritX scores WMT 35 out of 100 (snapshot 2026-10-15).
Every ClaritX analysis is scored first and judged only on what the stock did afterwards. Across the 122 analyses that scored in the 0-49 band, the average forward return was -6.9% with a 31% win rate, -11.0pp against the S&P 500. That is a measured tendency across many names, not a forecast for WMT — roughly 69% of stocks in this band still lost money.
The full band-by-band table, including the bands that lost, is on the AI Rank Report; the live strategy arms behind it are on the AI Track Record, losses published.