Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) Stock Analysis
Latest ClaritX AI analysis ·
Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a prominent retail chain across the United States, offering a diverse selection of branded apparel and other consumer products. Its merchandise is heavily focused on current fashion trends, providing items such as women's ready-to-wear, men's clothing, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, and outerwear. Additionally, the company stocks toys, gifts, and various products for the home, baby, and beauty categories. As of January 29, 2022, Burlington Stores, Inc. maintained an extensive network of 837 outlets under its flagship Burlington Stores brand, two Cohoes Fashions locations, and a single MJM Designer Shoes store. These establishments are situated throu
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $275.34 |
| Market cap | $17.3B |
| Sector | Consumer Cyclical |
| Industry | Apparel - Retail |
| ClaritX AI score | 74/100 |
| Price/Book | 8.79 |
| Beta | 1.42 |
AI verdict
Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) presents a highly asymmetric, fundamentally backed mean-reversion opportunity that is currently wrestling with extreme short-term technical exhaustion. Trading at $275.34, the equity remains severely impaired on a longer timeline, sitting roughly 27.22% below its euphoric 52-week high of $378.33. This violent contraction was structurally exacerbated by the stock's elevated beta of 1.422, which mathematically forces extreme overreactions to broader retail sentiment shocks. However, accumulating a proven, high-beta compounder well below its peak offers a vastly superior risk-adjusted entry point compared to chasing it during euphoric market rallies. While the immediate momentum has pushed the price safely above its 20-day SMA, the RSI has reached a blistering 81.30, heavily warning of near-term exhaustion and likely consolidation before any challenge of the 50-day moving average. Beneath this volatile technical landscape, Burlington's intrinsic economic engine operates flawlessly. The enterprise generates an elite 39.82% Return on Equity and boasts a deeply discounted PEG ratio of 0.81, proving the equity is mathematically mispriced relative to its forward growth velocity. With Wall Street's consensus maintaining a formidable $394.44 target—implying a massive 43.2% upside premium—and insider liquidation effectively evaporating in Q3, the market has gifted investors a rare fundamental dislocation. The strategic push toward 2,000 stores ensures yea
What this score has been worth
ClaritX scores BURL 74 out of 100 (snapshot 2026-10-05).
Every ClaritX analysis is scored first and judged only on what the stock did afterwards. Across the 293 analyses that scored in the 70-79 band, the average forward return was +0.8% with a 49% win rate, -4.1pp against the S&P 500. That is a measured tendency across many names, not a forecast for BURL — roughly 51% of stocks in this band still lost money.
The full band-by-band table, including the bands that lost, is on the AI Rank Report; the live strategy arms behind it are on the AI Track Record, losses published.