TopBuild Corp. (BLD) Stock Analysis
Latest ClaritX AI analysis ·
TopBuild Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the installation and distribution of insulation and other building material products to the construction industry. The company operates in two segments, Installation and Specialty Distribution. It provides insulation products and accessories, glass and windows, rain gutters, garage doors, fireplaces, roofing materials, closet shelving, and other products. The company also offers insulation installation services for fiberglass batts and rolls, blown-in loose fill fiberglass, polyurethane spray foam, and blown-in loose fill cellulose applications; provides roofing installation services, re-roofing and maintenance for the commercial and
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $354.53 |
| Market cap | $9.9B |
| Sector | Industrials |
| Industry | Engineering & Construction |
| ClaritX AI score | 35/100 |
| Price/Book | 4.13 |
| Beta | 1.83 |
AI verdict
TopBuild Corp. (BLD) presents one of the most severe divergences between pristine trailing fundamentals and catastrophic real-time price action in the current industrial market. From a purely operational standpoint, the company is a cash-generating fortress, boasting $25.18 in Free Cash Flow per share, a 22.15% Return on Equity, and robust liquidity metrics. However, these trailing indicators have been completely eclipsed by a devastating technical breakdown and unprecedented executive capitulation. The stock is currently trading at $354.53, representing a massive 36.63% collapse from its 52-week high of $559.47, and remains pinned lethally below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. Crucially, TopBuild operates with a highly elevated beta of 1.829. A stock trading at its 52-week high on euphoric sentiment and a beaten-down stock at the same fundamentals represent entirely different risk propositions; TopBuild's high beta is currently acting as a severe liability, amplifying downside market velocity. This technical collapse is fully validated by a massive wave of internal distribution: corporate insiders dumped 202,970 shares in Q3 2026 without a single open-market purchase, a violent reversal from previous accumulation. When the executives running a high-beta company aggressively liquidate their positions at the technical lows, it mathematically invalidates any intrinsic value thesis. Rating 35/100
What this score has been worth
ClaritX scores BLD 35 out of 100 (snapshot 2026-10-05).
Every ClaritX analysis is scored first and judged only on what the stock did afterwards. Across the 117 analyses that scored in the 0-49 band, the average forward return was -4.2% with a 32% win rate, -9.0pp against the S&P 500. That is a measured tendency across many names, not a forecast for BLD — roughly 68% of stocks in this band still lost money.
The full band-by-band table, including the bands that lost, is on the AI Rank Report; the live strategy arms behind it are on the AI Track Record, losses published.