Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) Stock Analysis
Latest ClaritX AI analysis ·
Vanguard Bond Index Funds - Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF is an exchange traded fund launched and managed by The Vanguard Group, Inc. The fund invests in the fixed income markets of the United States. It invests in investment-grade debt securities including government, corporate, and international dollar-denominated bonds with maturities between 5 and 10 years that are rated BBB- or above by S&P. It seeks to replicate the performance of the Bloomberg U.S. 5–10 Year Government/Credit Float Adjusted Index, by employing representative sampling methodology. Vanguard Bond Index Funds - Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF was formed on March 1, 1994 and is domiciled in the United States.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $72.61 |
| Market cap | $50.5B |
| Sector | Financial Services |
| Industry | Asset Management |
| ClaritX AI score | 35/100 |
| Beta | 1.03 |
AI verdict
The Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) remains a structurally immaculate allocation vehicle for intermediate-duration fixed income, yet it is currently entrenched in a ferocious technical breakdown exacerbated by aggressive institutional distribution and severe short-selling pressure. Fundamentally, the ETF is beyond reproach. Supported by a monumental $52.1 billion AUM, a microscopic 0.03% expense ratio, and a hyper-diversified portfolio of 298 holdings with a strict BBB- minimum credit floor, BIV continues to serve as an impenetrable vault for long-term capital preservation. It perfectly isolates the 5-10 year yield curve sweet spot, proactively circumventing extreme long-end duration risk. Technically, however, the short-term environment has materially worsened. BIV's price has compressed further to $72.61 on expanding volume of over 2.87 million shares, driving the RSI into a deeply oversold state at 26.69. The 244.5% surge in short interest indicates that institutional forces remain actively hostile. While the current valuation presents an exceptional, deeply discounted entry point for long-term retail accumulators executing disciplined dollar-cost averaging, the immediate trajectory remains definitively bearish. Short-term risk warrants extreme caution. Rating 35/100
What this score has been worth
ClaritX scores BIV 35 out of 100 (snapshot 2026-10-05).
Every ClaritX analysis is scored first and judged only on what the stock did afterwards. Across the 117 analyses that scored in the 0-49 band, the average forward return was -4.2% with a 32% win rate, -9.0pp against the S&P 500. That is a measured tendency across many names, not a forecast for BIV — roughly 68% of stocks in this band still lost money.
The full band-by-band table, including the bands that lost, is on the AI Rank Report; the live strategy arms behind it are on the AI Track Record, losses published.